understanding the stock market

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Federal Reserve officials meeting earlier this month saw an interest-rate increase in the near term even as divisions persisted over the policy path forward amid tepid inflation.

“Many participants thought that another increase in the target range for the federal funds rate was likely to be warranted in the near term if incoming information left the medium-term outlook broadly unchanged,” according to minutes from their Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering, released in Washington on Wednesday.

Policy makers held rates steady at the meeting but are expected to hike next month as they continue with gradual tightening. Unemployment is at a 16-year low, although inflation remains well beneath their 2% target.

(Related: HealthCare.gov Posts Strong Second-Week Results) 

The minutes showed that while Fed officials remain confident in the labor market and above-trend economic growth, several are looking for stronger signs that price gains will pick up. A few even want to see inflation on an upward path before lifting rates again, underlining a persistent divide on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

understanding the stock market: Statoil ASA(STO)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Cameron Swinehart]

    Going forward I will be looking to add investments on my watchlist and trim other positions. It will be interesting to see how an overweight commodity portfolio will perform relative to the rest of the market.

     Cost Basis# SharesCurrent Price% of PortfolioCurrent ValueReturnMetal/Miners      Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS)$12.4985$11.043.75%$938.40-13.13%Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)$7.95125$8.744.37%$1,092.509.04%FreePort-McMoran (FCX)$31.6731$33.874.20%$1,049.976.50%Ishares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING)$13.0695$10.644.04%$1,010.80-22.74%Energy      Statoil ASA(STO)$21.7940$22.683.63%$907.203.92%Vanguard Natural Resources LLC (VNR)$27.5636$27.874.01%$1,003.321.11%ConocoPhillips (COP)$63.6822.43$71.006.37%$1,592.5310.31%Agriculture      CVR Partner LP (UAN)$26.3630.9$18.932.34%$584.94-39.25%Adecoagro$6.78125$7.443.72%$930.008.87%Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM)$34.8030$37.244.47%$1,117.206.55%Mixed Commodity      Powershares DB Commodity Index (DBC)$26.3540$25.954.15%$1,038.00-1.54%Sprott Resource Corp$3.34400$2.714.34%$1,084.00-23.25%    Total % of portfolio49.40%               Cost Basis12,666.00      Current Value12,348.86      Return-2.50%  Source: Investing For The Future Surge In Commodity Prices

    Disclosure: I am long ADM, FCX, UAN, AGRO, RING, VNR, SCPZF.PK, COP, DBC, PHYS, PSLV. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More…)

  • [By Todd Shriber, ETF Professor]

    NORW reflects Norway's oil exposure. The ETF allocates nearly 28.8 percent of its weight to the energy, 870 basis points more than it devotes to its second-largest sector exposure, financial services. State-run Statoil ASA(ADR) (NYSE: STO) is NORW's largest individual holding at a weight of 15.3 percent, or 560 basis points more than NORW allocates to its second-largest holding.

  • [By Jayson Derrick]

    BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP), Royal Dutch Shell plc (ADR) (NYSE: RDS-A) (NYSE: RDS-B) and Statoil ASA(ADR) (NYSE: STO) are expected to outperform their peers by offering: 1) the greatest rate of change in cost reduction through technology and innovation, 2) upstream portfolios with an attractive risk to reward profile and 3) sufficient liquidity to invest in future growth.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Should oil prices recover, we believe that deepwater drilling activity growth should lag growth in US shale activity, as project economics is generally better in US shales, and E&Ps involved in US shales are generally quicker to react. Deepwater activity is largely comprises a handful of companies (Petrobras (PBR), Statoil (STO), Total (TOT), Shell (RDS.A), BP (BP), ONGC, ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX)) and it is unlikely that these companies can meaningfully increase their rig demand in a short period of time to absorb the current oversupply. Thus, should oil prices rise in 2018, rig demand may increase, but likely not enough to tighten the market, given that supply equaling 43% of current working rig count is stacked and new supply equaling 25% of working rig count is under-construction and should be entering the market in the coming years. As a result, while we expect some improvement in rig utilization owing to rig retirements, it will unlikely be strong enough to meaningfully improve rates in 2018 above spot levels. Any demand increase in the interim could slow rig retirements materially, and be self-defeating. We thus are Sell rated on Transocean, Atwood and Noble.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    We believe that the equity market has neutralised much of its underweight energy positioning in 4Q/1Q, but was caught by the sharp rally in crude from end-January. Our base-case sees oil prices still higher by end-2016 (we see >$50/bbl), albeit with a choppy 2Q likely ahead. In this scenario a modest, rather than fully-fledged price-recovery we continue to place a lot of importance on self-help in driving ROE expansion (as opposed to relying simply on oil-leverage). Value-adjusted, we like the self-help stories around Total, Chevron, Statoil (STO), Royal Dutch Shell and Eni (E) in the group. Total is on the Citi European Focus list.

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Norway’s Statoil ASA (NYSE: STO) announced this morning that it has acquired stakes in two North Sea projects from France’s Total S.A. (NYSE: TOT). The transaction, valued at $1.45 billion, includes a 51% equity stake in the Martin Linge field and a 40% stake in the Garantiana discovery, both located on Norway’s continental shelf.

understanding the stock market: LG Display Co., Ltd.(LPL)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Peter Graham]

    A long term performance chart shows shares of Corning Incorporated in a steady uptrend since we recommended the stock while Universal Display Corporation (NASDAQ: OLED) has taken off even higher and LG Display Co Ltd (NYSE: LPL) and AU Optronics Corp (NYSE: AUO) have given a similar performance:

  • [By Anders Bylund, Chuck Saletta, and Brian Feroldi]

    According to comments by Universal Display CEO Steve Abramson, Samsung (NASDAQOTH:SSNLF) is pouring $9 billion into building OLED production facilities this year. LG Display (NYSE:LPL) expects more than half of its 2020 revenues to come from OLED panels. The OLED TV market is expected to grow sixfold in the next four years, and the lighting panel market is only just getting started.

understanding the stock market: Sotheby's(BID)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    Shares of auction house Sotheby’s (NYSE:BID) jumped 13.6% in February, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, after a fourth-quarter earnings report wowed investors. And given the company’s momentum, 2017 could be a great year for the company.

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    Shares of auction house Sotheby’s (NYSE:BID) jumped as much as 14.7% in trading Monday after the company released fourth-quarter results. And shares kept steaming, trading 13.6% higher as of 12:30 p.m. EST.

  • [By Lee Jackson]

    These companies also reported insider buying last week: Carrizo Oil and Gas Inc. (NASDAQ: CRZO), Medifast Inc. (NYSE: MED), Medley Capital Corp. (NYSE: MCC), Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: OXY) and Sothebys (NYSE: BID).

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Sotheby’s (BID) has climbed 5.3% to $34 after the auction house’s earnings and revenue topped Street estimates.

    Tyson Foods (TSN) has gained 3.5% to $76.20 after beating earnings forecasts and raising its full-year guidance.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Sothebys (NYSE: BID) reported better-than-expected results for its fourth quarter on Monday.

    Sothebys posted quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.35 per share on revenue of $308.69 million. Analysts were expecting earnings of $1.17 per share on revenue of $277.28 million.

  • [By Marshall Hargrave]

    Now Loeb's looking to put that capital to work in other markets, with the art market being a perfect candidate. Loeb and his Third Point hedge fund have started their latest activist campaign with leading auction house Sotheby's (NYSE: BID). Loeb joins fellow activist investor Marcato Capital in the stock.

understanding the stock market: Phillips 66(PSX)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Virendra Singh Chauhan]

    Another piece of the Berkshire puzzle which could ride a tailwind is the investment in oil major Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX). With OPEC recently making a move to support oil prices with supply cuts, a rising oil price will benefit the oil major which made up just over 5% of Berkshire’s stock holdings at the end of the September quarter. PSX stock price is up 11% over the last one month and could be headed further higher if the demand/supplydynamics of the oil market are brought under control. (See also: Berkshire Stock: Should Investors Worry About Warren Buffett’s Latest Investments?)

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) said on Saturday that its operated Pasadena refined products terminal resumed truck loading and diesel loading is set to begin Sunday. Activities at the Mont Belvieu fractionator has been suspended due to a lack of available storage at the Mont Belvieu hub. The company is checking its Sweeny refinery (247,000 barrels a day) for damage and making repairs before resuming operations.

  • [By WWW.KIPLINGER.COM]

    Refiners and downstream energy stocks have really gone to town as oil prices have listed lower in a relatively tight range. Phillips 66 (PSX) is among those winners.

  • [By WWW.THESTREET.COM]

    “As a technician, I see largely rangebound motion with big bounces being retraced and fades being bought at deep support,” she added. “As the markets opened, holding over $48.12 will likely spell a bullish run as several refineries are closed in the region, such as Phillips66 (PSX) , Shell Petrobras and Exxon (XOM) . The support tests that hold $47.3 will be buy zones more than likely. Overall, the current remains the same – a largely landlocked region with only temporary moves up or down until the rebalancing looks better.”

  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    After facing several challenges last year, Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) enjoyed a bit of a bounce back in the first quarter. The refiner delivered expectation-smashing results, reporting an adjusted profit of $294 million, or $0.56 per share, which was a remarkable $0.51 per share ahead of the consensus estimate. Fueling the quarter were robust chemicals results and improving midstream earnings, which more than overcame continued weakness in the refining segment.

understanding the stock market: Dell Technologies Inc. (DVMT)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Lee Jackson]

    Avery familiar technology face was acquiring shares of Dell Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: DVMT) last week. The legendary Michael Dell himself was purchasedshares in the newest incarnation of the famed Dell franchise. Heacquired a total of 254,545 shares at a very reduced price of $27.50, which could be option-related. The total for the trade was posted at $7 million.

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