Yesterday, ExxonMobil (XOM) reported earnings that didn’t do much to excite investors, and today its shares are falling again, making my bearish call from Jan. 14 look better and better. Strategas Research Partners’ Chris Verrone and team note that Exxon–the largest stock in the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) with a 16% weighting–continues to weigh on the energy sector:
Strategas Research Partners
Credit Suisse analystEdward Westlake and team hope for improved financial disclosure from Exxon:
It continues to be a source of annoyance to investors that some US majors do not include a full cashflow statement in their release. The European Majors do so. Deferred taxes have been a drag on cashflow in 2016 across the group. Exxon’s 4Q16 cashflow was $7.4bn and this was depressed by $2.4bn of “working capital/other”. This was likely deferred tax losses. We will only know when we get the 10-K. Even in the 10-Q at 3Q16,Exxon lumped 19% of cashflow into “all other items” disclosure should be more granular. Brent was $50/bbl in 4Q16. AsExxon get the benefit of slightly higher commodity prices, then deferred taxes could become a neutral and then a positive. There is a tail wind from legacy project startups, and shale growth. However, it makes a big difference to Exxon’s oil price breakeven to annualize $7.4bn of 4Q cashflow ($29.6bn) or $9.8bn ($39.2bn) when the cash dividend is $12.5bn and headline 2017 capex is $22bn. On the reinvestment side of the ledger, the recently acquired shale assets could grow to 350kbd over time.Exxon produced 4.1MBD in 2016 with a 3% mitigated base decline. Hence, this shale growth could help offset 3years of decline. Aside from shale,Exxon also has lower cost resources to develop e.g. in Guyana, Papua New Guinea, Aspen solvent-assisted SAGD in-situ oilsands (subject to BAT), Romania, and has downstream.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: Reynolds American Inc(RAI)
- [By Leo Sun]
With interest rates set to rise this year, many dividend investors are likely worried that their stocks will slip as bond yields become more attractive. While some dividend stocks will inevitably decline, investors can still find some low-risk income plays that have high yields and cheap valuations. Let’s take a look at three such stocks — AT&T (NYSE:T), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), and Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI).
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Just before 1pm today, shares of Reynolds American (RAI) took a sudden nosedive on reports that its merger with British American Tobacco (BTI) had “hit a snag” according to StreetInsider.com. Cowen’s Vivien Azer and team still think a deal gets done:
Street Insider is reporting that BATS’ acquisition of RAI has “hit a snag,” and that “a potential transaction may be less likely near-term.” We view this source as less credible (vs. a WSJ or CNBC), in particular given the scant level of detail. While the delay in a consummated deal has extended longer than we thought, we still view the deal as likely (85% probability).
Shares of Reynolds American have dropped 1.3% to $55.47 at 2:26 p.m. today, while British American Tobacco has declined 0.2% to $112.71. Shares of Philip Morris International (PM), which could be interested in an acquisition of Altria Group (MO), have fallen 1% to$90.28 after getting cut toNeutral from Buy at BofA Merrill Lynch, while Altria has risen 0.5% to$67.94 after getting upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Merrill.
- [By Rich Duprey, Demitrios Kalogeropoulos, and Brian Feroldi]
It remains true that the tobacco industry will continue coming under pressure from anti-smoking activists, politicians, and regulators who seek to stub out cigarettes further by raising taxes on smokes, but companies such as Altria and Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI) are largely able to offset their impact on profits by raising prices. The ability to command such pricing power without an overly large loss of customers obviously speaks to the addictive qualities of smoking but is also an otherwise enviable position to be in.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: S&P GSCI(GD)
- [By Craig Jones]
On CNBC's Fast Money Halftime Report, Jon Najarian spoke about unusually high bullish options activity in General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE: GD). He said that traders were buying the May 190 calls for $3.30. The trade breaks even at $193.30 or around 3 percent higher. Najarian bought calls in General Dynamics and he is planning to hold them for two weeks.
- [By Jon C. Ogg]
General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) was last trading at $173.21 versus a Merrill Lynch price objective of $200.00 for the company. That implies a gain of 15% if Merrill Lynch is right, and then there is the 1.8% dividend yield to consider for total return investors. General Dynamics has a consensus analyst target price of $186.06 and a 52-week range of $121.61 to $180.09.
- [By Rich Smith]
Huntington’s problems may not end at the water’s surface, either. While it’s the principal contractor building the Ford-class carriers, Huntington will cooperate with peer shipbuilder General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) to build the new Columbia class of ballistic missile submarines, which will replace the current Ohio class (and up until recently, it was commonly called the “Ohio Replacement Class”).
- [By Alex McGuire]
Since the early 1960s, aerospace and defense companies have been building vehicles for space agencies like NASA. For example, General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) was contracted to help build the propulsion rocket systems for the famous Apollo missions.
- [By WWW.KIPLINGER.COM]
Its this kind of environment that has made the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF(ITA) one of the best-performing ETFs over the past decade. Companies like Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) and General Dynamics Corporation (GD) have thrived by producing solutions funded by a thick military wallet.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: TAL International Group Inc.(TAL)
- [By Craig Jones]
Instead of buying TAL Education Group (ADR) (NYSE: TAL), Cramer would buy Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: BABA).
Cramer thinks Burlington Stores Inc (NYSE: BURL) is going to have a good quarter, because Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) posted a good one, and they have similar business models.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: SPX Corporation(SPW)
- [By Damon Churchwell]
These companies manufacture processing products used by industries such as food and beverages, oil & gas, and wastewater treatment, among others. They serve a wide range of end markets that are mostly poised for increased earnings and are likely to spend on capital projects. While these positive trends persist, flow technology companies’ prospects ought to remain favorable. Let’shighlight several sector participants, starting with a top selection,SPX(NYSE: SPW),.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: Nordson Corporation(NDSN)
- [By Monica Gerson]
Nordson Corporation (NASDAQ: NDSN) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.92 per share on revenue of $415.52 million.
KLX Inc (NASDAQ: KLXI) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.30 per share on revenue of $383.62 million.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Nordson Corporation (NASDAQ: NDSN) is projected to post its quarterly earnings at $0.92 per share on revenue of $415.52 million. Nordson shares gained 0.88 percent to close at $75.74 on Friday.
- [By WWW.THESTREET.COM]
In the Lightning Round, Cramer was bullish on GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) , Chubb (CB) , XPO Logistics (XPO) , FedEx (FDX) and Nordson (NDSN) .
Cramer was bearish on Prudential (PRU) , Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASX) and ZTO Express (ZTO) .
- [By Steve Symington]
Nordson Corporation (NASDAQ:NDSN) released fiscal second-quarter 2017 results on Monday that easily exceeded expectations, highlighting broad-based organic growth and solid contributions from its recently acquired businesses.
Hot Dividend Stocks To Watch For 2018: United Parcel Service Inc.(UPS)
- [By Craig Jones]
On CNBC's "Fast Money Halftime Report", Pete Najarian spoke about unusually high options activity in United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE: UPS). He said that options traders are buying the January 2020, 140 strike calls. Around 20,000 call options were traded in the first half of the session and traders were paying $3.20 for them. The trade breaks even at $143.20 or 21.12 percent above the current market price. Pete Najarian owns shares of UPS and he thinks the stock is going much higher.
- [By Todd Campbell, Demitrios Kalogeropoulos, and Reuben Gregg Brewer]
In the case of these three stocks, however, it may be worth taking a gamble. Our contributors think catalysts at Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS-B), and United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) can get them back to their winning ways. Read on to find out if these down-and-out stocks are right for your portfolio.
- [By Demitrios Kalogeropoulos]
Meanwhile, earnings season produced large price swings in a few stocks individual stocks, including Under Armour (NYSE:UA) (NYSE:UAA) and UPS (NYSE:UPS).