Shares of Endo International (ENDP) have tumbled 40% today after it said profits would fall well short of analyst expectations thanks, in part, to plunging generic drug prices. Leerink’s Jason Gerberry and team look for specialty pharmaceutical companies that have similar business models–and find Akorn (AKRX), Perrigo (PRGO), and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA). They explain:
Endos ’16 guidance re-basing, which comes afterPerrigo (MP) provided a similar rebasing (4/25), may provide read-through for companies with high exposure to (1) significant 2014-15 US generic price hikes; (2) disproportionately high 2015 generic gross margins another indicator of price and tough Y/Y comparable. While we expect the broader spec pharma group to trade down on theEndo (MP) print, we see the most direct read-through toAkorn (MP),Perrigo (MP) and TEVA (OP), moderate read-through to Allergan (AGN) (OP) and Mallinckrodt (MNK) (OP) and limited read-through to Mylan (MYL) (OP) and Sandoz who have already reported. Our sector view is that generic price deflation will be most acute in pockets of the market, mainly opioids and one-off niche alternative dosage products while the bigger diversified players seem relatively insulated and 1Q results for Sandoz andMylan provide some support that view.
daily stock picks: Westell Technologies, Inc.(WSTL)
- [By Jim Robertson]
Today, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggested small cap high-performance wireless infrastructure solutions stock Westell Technologies (NASDAQ: WSTL) as a buy for our short-term portfolio:
daily stock picks: Del Taco Restaurants, Inc.(TACO)
- [By Peter Graham]
Small cap Mexican restaurant stock Del Taco Restaurants (NASDAQ: TACO) reported fiscal Q3 2017 earnings after the market closed on Thursday with earnings meeting Wall Street expectations plus the Company also revised its guidance for fiscal year 2017 on several key metrics. Total revenuerose 6.3% to$111.0 million driven by a 6.1% increase in Company restaurant sales and a 7.9% increase in franchise revenue. Comparable restaurant sales increased 4.1% system-wide for the fiscal third quarter 2017, resulting in a 10.8% increase on a two-year basis. The Del Taco system has now generated comparable restaurant sales growth for 16 consecutive quarters whileCompany-operated comparable restaurant sales increased 3.7% marking the 21st consecutive quarter of comparable restaurant sales growth. Franchise comparable restaurant sales increased 4.6%. Net income was $5.1 million versus$4.9 million. The CEO commented:
- [By WWW.THESTREET.COM]
Cramer’s game plan starts on Monday, with earnings from Del Taco Restaurants (TACO) . Despite strong same-store sales last quarter, Cramer said he’s expecting a struggle this quarter.
- [By Jim Robertson]
On Tuesday, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggested shorting small cap Mexican restaurant stock Del Taco Restaurants (NASDAQ: TACO):
The downtrend here is clearly well established, But, it cemented itself in place yesterday and today. On Monday the bulls took a shot, pushing and up and off of the 200-day moving average line (green) after finding support there last week. It was a short-lived effort, setting up a drastic change of heart – the people who regretted not getting out a month ago took the small uptick as a second chance to do so. Only this time, the sellers weren’t so shy. TACO broker under the 200-day moving average that had been support just a week earlier, and did so on higher volume. Today’s bearish follow-through is the clincher.
- [By Lee Jackson]
Del Taco Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: TACO) had a director at the company selling stock last week. The board member shed a total of 831,314 sharesat between $11.40 and $11.84 apiece. The total for the sale was $10 million. The shares ended the weekat $12.36, in a 52-week range of$8.43 to $15.32. The consensus price target is $17.07.
daily stock picks: J.M. Smucker Company (The)(SJM)
- [By Teresa Rivas]
J.M. Smucker(SJM) is falling Monday, after Morgan Stanley’sMatthew Grainger and his team cut their rating on the stock, citing pricing pressures from Wal-Mart (WMT) and growing competition from private-labels.
Grainger slash Smucker to Underweight from Equal Weight, and shaved $6 off his price target, to $126. He also cites what he calls “sustained” challenges in both its coffee and pet food business, as well as“below-average strategic optionality.”
At the same time, he also upgraded Pinnacle Foods (PF) to Overweight from Equal Weight, and raised his price target to $63 from $58, on its double-digit earnings growth and what he sees as superior execution.
Nonetheless, he sees many of the packaged food companies in his coverage, from Smucker to Pinnacle, as subject to pressure from Wal-Mart and off-brand rivals. From the note:
Walmart comprises ~22% of sales across our coverage, a figure that has increased in recent years even as the retailers total grocery sales have grown at an even faster 4% CAGR. With Food margins expected to expand meaningfully, we believe this only enhances Walmart’s negotiating leverage going forward. SJM, Dean Foods (DF), and General Mills (GIS) are most at risk in the current environment, in our view.
Recent scanner data points to a positive inflection in private label trends (share up ~30 bps L12W) across a range of center-store categories, a dynamic we believe could intensify in an increasingly competitive retail grocery landscape. Our analysis of recent trends points to the most meaningful underperformance vs. private label at GIS, SJM, ConAgra (CAG), and Campbell Soup (CPB), while only PF has outperformed in recent weeks.
Smucker is down 1.1% to $127.95 this morning, while Pinnacle is up 0.8% to %48.47.
- [By Douglas A. McIntyre]
The Pillsbury Doughboy is the mascot of the Pillsbury Company, which is owned by General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and J.M. Smucker (NYSE: SJM). The Doughboy was created by Pillsburys advertising agency almost 50 years ago. Pikachu are characters owned by The Pokemon Company International and appear in card games, video games, TV shows, movies and comic books. Founded in 1998, the Japanese company has achieved total games sales of almost 280 million. SpongeBob SquarePants was created for Nickelodeon, which is owned by Viacom (NASDAQ: VIA). The show premiered in 1999 and has spawned movies, video games and theme park rides. Ronald McDonald is a c
daily stock picks: Telecom Italia S.P.A.(TI)
- [By Lisa Levin]
In trading on Friday, telecommunications services shares fell by 0.29 percent. Meanwhile, top losers in the sector included Telecom Italia SpA (ADR) (NYSE: TI), down 4 percent, and Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (ADR) (NASDAQ: IIJI), down 3 percent.