On Jan. 14, I panned ExxonMobil (XOM) in my trader column, and it’s been a decent call so far.
Since the close on Jan. 13, shares of ExxonMobil have lost 5.2% including reinvested dividends, while the Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) has lost 4.3%. The S&P 500 has returned 4.1% during the same period.
But Exxon is getting ready to host its analyst day tomorrow. Could that be the catalyst it needs to reverse its losses? Credit Suisse analyst Edward Westlake and team don’t think so:
With one of the highest share of longer lived cashflows in the Majors (including the leading Integrated Downstream & Chemicals), and the ability to offset upstream decline through capital efficient shale, tiebacks, low cost greenfield e.g. Guyana, and lowest cost LNG/oil sands (helped by technology), then XOM’s free cash flow should improve…we show that if XOM can hold onto the cost savings from 2016, deliver Permian growth and maintain capex control in the legacy assets, then the unlevered fcf yield could rise toward 6.5% in the $60′s Brent. The Russell 1000 is trading around 4.8%. The historical premium is 100bps (though with a wide range given cycle). This suggests XOM shares are becoming more reasonably valued vs the SPX as they have pulled back somewhat and as management continue to deliver. However, at around $60/bbl, there would be other Majors with a wider FCF yield and faster growth coming from the pure play shale exposed names. This fcf yield does mean that the 3.8% dividend yield is well covered (a point XOM made last year) and XOM can grow the dividend over time. We note the dividend hike normally comes just ahead of 1Q results.
Best Energy Stocks To Watch Right Now: Alon USA Partners, LP(ALDW)
- [By Tom Dorsey]
Over a several day period, I submitted questions and Mr. Eisman, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director of Alon USA Energy Inc. (ALJ) and the parent company of Alon USA Partners LP Inc. (ALDW) responded. He provided some key insights to some challenges the company faces, where the company is going, and the opportunities available in the future. This insight should provide investors with additional information to understand the value of the company and the opportunity as an investor in the company.
Best Energy Stocks To Watch Right Now: Euro FX(P)
- [By Paul Ausick]
Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) dropped about 5.9% Tuesday to post a new 52-week low of $4.97 after closing at $5.28 on Monday. The stock’s 52-week high is $14.10. Volume of around 26 million was nearly 4 times the daily average. The streaming music company posted a smaller-than-expected loss but missed revenues when it reported last Thursday night.
- [By Paul Ausick]
Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) reported second-quarter results after markets closed Monday. For the quarter, the Internet radio company posted an adjusted diluted net loss per share of $0.21 on revenues of $376.83 million. In the same period a year ago, the company reported a net loss of $0.12 on revenues of $343.02 million. Second-quarter results compare to the consensus estimate for a net loss of $0.24 on $368.87 million in revenues.
- [By Peter Graham]
Small cap Internet radio stockPandora Media Inc (NYSE: P) reported Q1 2017 earnings after yesterdays market close plus announced a $150 million strategic investment from KKR and announced theimplementation ofcertain governance changes and confirmed an ongoing strategic review fueling speculationfor a sale. Q1 revenue was rose 6% to$316.0 million as advertising revenue rose 1% to$223.3 million duringthe seasonally weakest advertising quarter. Total subscribers increased from 3.93 million in Q1 2016 to 4.71 million in Q1 2017 with subscription and other revenue up 19% to $64.9 millionand ticketing service revenuerose 25% to$27.8 million. The GAAP net loss was $132.3 million versus a net loss of $115.1 million and the Company ended with $203.0 million in cash and investments versus $243.3 million at the end of the prior quarter.The Founder/CEO commented:
- [By Lisa Levin]
Benzinga's newsdesk monitors options activity to notice unusual patterns. These large volume (and often out of the money) trades were initially published intraday in Benzinga Professional . These trades were placed during Friday's regular session.
- [By Jeremy Bowman]
In the streaming-music industry,PandoraMedia(NYSE:P) shares took off as the company lifted its fourth-quarter guidance and said that it added more subscribers than projected.
- [By WWW.THESTREET.COM]
Cramer was bearish on Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) , General Motors (GM) , Pandora Media (P) , Cedar Fair (FUN) , Quotient Technology (QUOT) and Rite Aid (RAD) .
Best Energy Stocks To Watch Right Now: Weatherford International plc(WFT)
- [By Craig Jones]
Jon Najarian spoke on CNBC's "Fast Money Halftime Report" about unusual options activity in Weatherford International Plc (NYSE: WFT). The stock was trading more than 2.5 percent higher and options traders were buying the October 4.50 calls. Over 13,000 contracts were traded and the first block was huge. Najarian explained that an institutional trader was behind the first block and he decided to follow the trade. He is planning to hold the long position for two weeks.
- [By Jim Swanson]
Weatherford International Plc (NYSE: WFT) is forming the OneStim joint venture with Schlumberger Limited. (NYSE: SLB), which would focus on the unconventional completions market in North America. “We view the transaction as a rare win-win situation,” Deutsche Bank’s Mike Urban said in a report.
- [By Craig Jones]
Pete Najarian said that 10,000 contracts of the March 6 calls in Weatherford International Plc (NYSE: WFT) were traded early in the trading session for around $0.35. He has also bought the March 6 calls and he is going to hold them at least for three weeks. Weatherford International Plc spiked 7.21 percent on Tuesday.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Weatherford International (WFT) has climbed 7.8% to $6.35 after announcing a joint venture with Schlumberger (SLB). Schlumberger has declined 0.4% to $76.67.
- [By Jon C. Ogg]
Weatherford International plc (NYSE: WFT) saw a share 18.9% gain to $5.14 on Wednesday, and the 55.9 million shares was right at 2 times normal trading volume. Weatherford has a consensus analyst price target of $7.43 and a 52-week trading range of $3.73 to $11.14. The company has a total market cap of $5 billion.
Best Energy Stocks To Watch Right Now: Newfield Exploration Company(NFX)
- [By Ben Levisohn]
The large cap E&Ps we cover raised ~ $6.5 billion of equity in 2015 and are likely to consider additional issuance in 2016. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) raised $1.3 billion on January 5th and Hess Corp. (HES) raised $1.5 billion of equity/equity-linked earlier this month. We think highly leveraged companies such as Devon Energy,Encana andRange Resources (RRC) and companies with a large deficit (before asset sales), such asAnadarko Petroleum and Devon Energy, are most likely to consider raising equity. Additionally, we believe companies such as WPX Energy (WPX), Southwestern Energy (SWN), Marathon Oil, Continental Resources (CLR),Noble Energy and Newfield Exploration (NFX) could issue equity while several levered companies may be unwilling or unable to access equity markets. We do not think Apache, Canadian Natural Resource, EOG Resources (EOG), Occidental Petroleum orPioneer Natural Resources are likely to issue equity this year.
- [By Chris Lange]
The S&P 500 stock posting the largest daily percentage loss ahead of the close Wednesday was Newfield Exploration Co. (NYSE: NFX) which traded down about 7% at $28.44. The stocks 52-week range is $24.41 to $50.00. Volume was 2.5 million versus the daily average of 2.7 million shares.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Lear also sees strong “upside potential” forConcho Resources (CXO), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Newfield Exploration (NFX) as well performance improves in the Permian/STACK, and also writes positively on Devon Energy (DVN).